By 2050, drug-resistant infections could cause global ...

By 2050, drug-resistant infections could cause global economic damage on par with 2008 financial crisis. WorkingforaWorldFreeofPoverty WhoWeAre News PRESSRELEASE By2050,drug-resistantinfectionscouldcauseglobaleconomicdamageonparwith2008financialcrisis September20,2016 Thispagein: English Español Français Русский 中文 Română Email Print Tweet Share Share LinkedIn Digg 人人网 StumbleUpon Delicious 新浪微博 NewresearchfromWorldBankshowsthatantimicrobialresistancewouldincreasepovertyandaffectpoorestcountriesthemost NEWYORK,September19,2016—Drug-resistantinfectionshavethepotentialtocausealevelofeconomicdamagesimilarto—andlikelyworsethan—thatcausedbythe2008financialcrisis,accordingtoanewreportbytheWorldBankGroupentitled“DrugResistantInfections:AThreattoOurEconomicFuture.”Theresearchshowsthatahigh-casescenarioofantimicrobialresistance(AMR)—whereantibioticsandotherantimicrobialdugsnolongertreatinfectionsthewaytheyaresupposedto—couldcauselow-incomecountriestolosemorethan5%oftheirGDPandpushupto28millionpeople,mostlyindevelopingcountries,intopovertyby2050.Andunlikethefinancialcrisisof2008,therewouldbenoprospectsforacyclicalrecoveryinthemediumterm,asthecostlyimpactofAMRwouldpersist. “Thescaleandnatureofthiseconomicthreatcouldwipeouthard-foughtdevelopmentgainsandtakeusawayfromourgoalsofendingextremepovertyandboostingsharedprosperity,”saidJimYongKim,PresidentoftheWorldBankGroup.“Thecostofinactionisunaffordable—especiallyforthepoorestcountries.Wemusturgentlychangecoursetoavertthispotentialcrisis.” KeyfindingsofthereportarebasedonWorldBankGroupprojectionsoftheworldeconomyin2017-2050.Theyinclude: ImpactonGDP:By2050,annualglobalGDPwouldfallby1.1%inthelow-impactAMRscenarioand3.8%inthehigh-impactAMRscenario.Low-incomecountrieswouldlosemoreeveryyearleadingupto2050,withthelossexceeding5%ofGDPin2050inthelatterscenario. Impactonglobalpoverty:TherewouldbeapronouncedincreaseinextremepovertybecauseofAMR.Oftheadditional28.3millionpeoplefallingintoextremepovertyin2050inthehigh-impactAMRscenario,thevastmajority(26.2million)wouldliveinlow-incomecountries.Currently,theworldisbroadlyontracktoeliminateextremepoverty(at$1.90/day)by2030,reachingclosetothetargetoflessthan3%ofpeoplelivinginextremepoverty.AMRrisksputtingthistargetoutofreach. Impactonworldtrade:In2050,thevolumeofglobalrealexportswouldshrinkby1.1%inthelow-casescenario,andby3.8%inthehigh-casescenario. Impactonhealthcarecosts:Globalincreasesinhealthcarecostsmayrangefrom$300billiontomorethan$1trillionperyearby2050. Impactonlivestockoutput:By2050,thedeclineingloballivestockproductioncouldrangefromalowof2.6%toahighof7.5%peryear. Drug-resistantinfections,inbothhumansandanimals,areontheriseglobally.IfAMRspreadsunchecked,manyinfectiousdiseaseswillagainbeuntreatable,reversingacenturyofprogressinpublichealth.TheUnitedNationshasscheduledaday-longspecialsessiononAMRaspartoftheUNGeneralAssemblyinNewYorkthisweek,onlythefourthtimethathealthisbeinghighlightedinthisway. “Wenowknowthat—unlessaddressedswiftlyandseriouslyandonasustainedbasis—thegrowingglobalproblemofantibioticresistancewillbedisastrousforhumanandanimalhealth,foodproductionandglobaleconomies.Thefactthat,leftunchecked,itwouldpenalizethepoormorethananyone,makesclearwhythisneedstobeaddressedasacriticalissuefordevelopment.AsheadsofstatecometogetherattheUNGeneralAssemblyhigh-levelmeetingonantimicrobialresistancethisweek,thisshouldbefrontofmind,"saidMargaretChan,Director-GeneraloftheWorldHealthOrganization(WHO).   SeveralrecentreportsonAMR,includingthemostrecentonebyLordJimO’Neill’sindependentpolicyreview,havecalledforanurgentfocusonthisissueandhighlightedtheenormousglobaleconomiclossesitcancause—itestimatedabout$100trillionintotalby2050.    LordJimO’Neill,ChairmanoftheReviewonAntimicrobialResistance,saidabouttoday’sWorldBankGroupreport:“Thisreportprovidesanothertimelyreminderthatrisingdrugresistanceisaloomingthreattoourprosperityandsustainedeconomicdevelopmentinallpartsofthe world.As globalleadersmeetattheUNthisweek,Ihopethat thisreportwill helptohardentheirresolvetotakeproper,collaborativeactiononthe manychallengesofAMR.” Thereportoutlinesthecrisesinthehumanand veterinarypublichealth sectorsandintheenvironment,wherecapacityforregulatingantimicrobialsisinsufficient inmanycountries,wheremisuse andoveruseofantibioticsisanissueforsome whileaccessremainsdifficultformany. Thereisinsufficientinvestmentinbuildingstrongpublichealthsystems,includingsurveillanceandmonitoring, thatcanreduceriskattheinterfacebetweenhumans,animalsandtheir environment. ThereportrecommendsbothAMR-sensitiveandAMR-specificsolutionstoaddressthecrisis.Itsaysthatoneofthebestopportunitiesintheshort-termtomitigatethethreatofAMRistostrengtheninvestmentsinhealthsystemsandoverallpreparednesstotackleinfectiousdiseases,andtoimprovepublicandveterinaryhealthsystemswhilebuildingsurveillanceforAMRintothemasanintegralcomponent.ItstronglysupportsimplementationandadequatefinancingoftheWHOActionPlanonAMR,whichwasendorsedin2015.ItalsorecommendsanurgentfocusoninnovativeAMR-specificinterventionsthatpromoteandincentivizebetterstewardshipofantimicrobialsbothforhumansandanimals,includingtheappropriateuseofantibioticsinanimalhusbandry. MediaContactsInWashington,D.C.Anu PalanTel: +1(240)[email protected] InWashington,DCKitchie HermosoTel: +1(202)[email protected] RESOURCES Drug-ResistantInfections:AThreattoOurEconomicFuture  RELATED PUBLICATION[publication]Drug-ResistantInfections:AThreattoOurEconomicFutureINFOGRAPHIC[infographic]Drug-ResistantInfections:AThreattoOurEconomicFuture PRESSRELEASENO: 2016/HDN/039 Romania Health Api Api Newsletters ViewAllnewsletters» Welcome Youhaveclickedonalinktoapagethatisnotpartofthebetaversionofthenewworldbank.org.Beforeyouleave,we’dlovetogetyourfeedbackonyourexperiencewhileyouwerehere.Willyoutaketwominutestocompleteabriefsurveythatwillhelpustoimproveourwebsite? Cancel NoThanks Yes,I'llprovidefeedback xClose FeedbackSurvey Thankyouforagreeingtoprovidefeedbackonthenewversionofworldbank.org;yourresponsewillhelpustoimproveourwebsite. Whatwasthepurposeofyourvisittoworldbank.orgtoday? Didthelayoutandnavigationofthenewsitehelpyoulocatewhatyouwerelookingfor? 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